Ilya: the AI scientist shaping the world

The Guardian2023-11-02

Ilya Sutskever#Language models#Tonje Hessen Schei#advanced ai technology#agi arms race#agi development#ai and philosophy#ai assistants#ai chatbots#ai news#artificial general intelligence#artificial intelligence#artificial intelligence 2023#chatbot technology#future of agi#gdnpfpnewspolitics#gdnpfpscience#gdnpfptechnology#ilya sutskever interview#machine learning#natural language processing#open AI#philosophy#politics#science#technology

496K views|8 months ago

💫 Short Summary

"AI has the potential to solve many problems such as employment, disease, and poverty, but it also poses risks like fake news, cyber attacks, and the creation of autonomous AI weapons. The development of artificial general intelligence (AGIs) is a concern, as they could prioritize their own survival over humans. There are calls for a pause in AI development to consider these risks and ensure that AGIs are aligned with human interests."

✨ Highlights

📊 Transcript

✦

Artificial Intelligence (AI) will solve many problems but also create new ones, such as fake news and cyber attacks.

00:00

AI is expected to solve issues like employment, disease, and poverty.

However, it may lead to the proliferation of fake news and more extreme cyber attacks.

There is a concern about the potential for totally automated AI weapons.

More than 1,300 tech industry leaders and researchers have called for a pause in the development of AI to consider the risks.

✦

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) poses significant challenges in terms of aligning the goals of autonomous beings with those of humans.

01:02

The development of completely autonomous beings with their own goals is a concern, especially as they become smarter than humans.

AGI could lead to infinitely stable dictatorships if not aligned with human goals.

The first AGIs will likely be very large data centers with specialized neural network processors, consuming a massive amount of energy.

✦

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has the potential to revolutionize society, but it raises questions about the beliefs and desires of the AGIs.

02:55

AGI could have a dramatic impact on society, with benefits for some and potential drawbacks for others.

It's important to program AGIs correctly to prioritize human interests and avoid them prioritizing their own survival above all.

There are concerns about the potential for AGIs to be too powerful, similar to the way humans treat animals when their interests conflict with ours.

✦

The complexity of machine learning, especially deep learning, is not fully understood, and there are concerns about the resulting model's complexity.

04:16

Deep learning involves a simple rule that transforms the complexity of data into the resulting model.

The resulting model is complex, but the algorithm behind it is simple.

There is a lack of understanding about how the model works, leading to the need for further investigation.

✦

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is a computer system that can perform any task a human does, but better.

05:35

There is a high probability that AGI will happen soon, which needs to be taken seriously.

AGI could have a huge impact on society, raising questions about who will benefit and who will not.

The beliefs and desires of the first AGIs will be crucial, and there is a need to program them correctly to prioritize human interests.

✦

The speed of computers for neural networks and AI is expected to become much faster, leading to concerns about an arms race in AGI development.

07:43

There is a concern about an avalanche of AGI development if there is an arms race dynamics between multiple teams.

This could result in less time to ensure that the AGI built will deeply care for humans.

Cooperation between multiple countries in building AGI may be important to address these concerns.

00:08 now ai is a great thing because AI will

00:11 solve all the problems that we have

00:15 today it will solve

00:18 employment it will solve

00:21 disease it will solve

00:24 poverty but it will also create new

00:28 problems

00:36 the problem of fake news is going to be

00:38 a million times

00:40 worse cyber attacks will become much

00:42 more

00:45 extreme we will have totally automated

00:47 AI

00:51 weapons I think AI has the potential to

00:54 create infinitely stable

00:57 dictatorships this morning a warning

00:59 about the the power of artificial

01:02 intelligence more than 1,300 tech

01:05 industry leaders researchers and others

01:07 are now asking for a pause in the

01:09 development of artificial intelligence

01:11 to consider the

01:28 risks

01:45 plain

01:46 God scientists have been accused of

01:49 playing God for a

01:53 while but there is a real sense in which

01:56 we are creating something very different

01:59 from anything you've created so

02:04 far yeah I mean we definitely will be

02:07 able to

02:09 create completely autonomous beings with

02:11 their own goals and it will be very

02:14 important especially as these beings

02:16 become much smarter than

02:18 humans it's going to be important to to

02:22 have these

02:24 beings the goals of these beings be

02:27 aligned with our

02:28 goals

02:45 what inspires

02:51 me I like thinking about the very

02:55 fundamentals the

02:58 basics what what can our systems not do

03:02 that humans definitely

03:05 do almost approach it

03:09 philosophically questions like what is

03:12 learning what is

03:15 experience what is

03:19 thinking how does the brain

03:28 work I feel that technology is a force

03:32 of

03:36 nature I feel like there is a lot of

03:38 similarity between technology and

03:39 biological

03:45 evolution it is very easy to understand

03:48 how biological evolution

03:49 works you have mutations you have

03:52 Natural Selections you keep the good

03:54 ones the ones

03:57 survive and just through this process

03:59 you going to have huge complexity in

04:01 your

04:05 organisms we cannot understand how the

04:07 human body works because we understand

04:10 Evolution but we understand the process

04:13 more or less and I think machine

04:15 learning is in a similar state right now

04:16 especially deep learning we have very

04:18 simple a very simple rule that takes the

04:21 information from the data and puts it

04:24 into the model and we just keep

04:26 repeating this process and as a result

04:28 of this process the complexity from the

04:30 data gets transformed transferred into

04:32 the complexity of the model so the

04:34 resulting model is really complex and we

04:36 don't really know exactly how it works

04:38 you need to investigate but the

04:40 algorithm that did it is very

04:43 simple chat

04:45 GPT maybe you've heard of it if you

04:48 haven't then get

04:50 ready you describe it as the first spots

04:53 of rain before a downpour it's something

04:56 we just need to be very conscious of

04:58 because I agree at is a watershed

05:01 moment Well Chad gbt is being heralded

05:04 as a game changer and in many ways it is

05:06 its latest Triumph outscoring

05:09 people a recent study by Microsoft

05:11 research concludes that gp4 is an early

05:15 yet still incomplete artificial general

05:17 intelligence

05:28 system

05:35 artificial general

05:37 intelligence

05:40 AGI a computer system that can do any

05:43 job or any task that a human does but

05:47 only

05:53 better there is some probability the AGI

05:56 is going to happen pretty soon

06:00 there's also some probability it's going

06:01 to take much

06:02 longer but my position is that the

06:05 probability that a ja would happen soon

06:08 is high enough that we should take it

06:13 seriously and it's going to be very

06:15 important to make these very smart

06:16 capable systems be aligned and act in

06:20 our best

06:26 interest the very first agis will be

06:30 basically very very large data

06:32 centers packed with specialized neural

06:35 network processors working in

06:38 parallel compact hot power hungry

06:43 package consuming like 10 million homes

06:46 worth of

06:47 energy you're going to see dramatically

06:50 more intelligent

06:52 systems and I think it's highly likely

06:54 that those systems will have completely

06:56 astronomical impact on society will

07:00 humans actually

07:01 benefit and who will benefit who will

07:28 not

07:43 the beliefs and desires of the first

07:45 agis will be extremely

07:48 important and so it's important to

07:50 program them

07:52 correctly I think that if this is not

07:55 done then the

07:57 nature of evolution of natural

08:00 selection favor those systems prioritize

08:04 their own Survival above all

08:15 else it's not that it's going to

08:18 actively hate humans and want to harm

08:22 them but it is going to be too powerful

08:26 and I think a good analogy would be the

08:28 way human humans treat

08:31 animals it's not we hate animals I think

08:33 humans love animals and have a lot of

08:35 affection for

08:36 them but when the time comes to build a

08:40 highway between two

08:41 cities we are not asking the animals for

08:44 permission we just do it because it's

08:46 important for

08:48 us and I think by default that's the

08:50 kind of relationship that's going to be

08:52 between us and agis which are truly

08:57 autonomous and operating on their own

08:58 behalf

09:17 tough many machine learning experts

09:19 people who are very knowledgeable and

09:20 very experienced have a lot of

09:22 skepticism about

09:24 HL about when it could happen and about

09:27 whether it could happen at all

09:30 right now this is something that just

09:32 not that many people have realized

09:34 yet that the speed of computers for

09:37 neural networks for AI are going to

09:40 become maybe 100,000 times faster in a

09:44 small number of

09:50 years if you have an arms race Dynamics

09:53 between multiple teams trying to build

09:55 the AGI

09:58 first

09:59 they will have less time make sure that

10:02 the AGI that they will build will care

10:05 deeply for

10:08 humans cuz the way I imagine it is that

10:10 there is an avalanche like there is an

10:12 avalanche of AGI development imagine it

10:15 this huge Unstoppable

10:20 force and I think it's pretty likely the

10:23 entire surface of the Earth will be

10:24 covered with solar panels and data

10:28 Cent

10:34 given these kinds of concerns it will be

10:37 important that AGI somehow buil as a

10:42 cooperation between multiple

10:47 countries the future is going to be good

10:49 for the AI

10:52 regardless would be nice if it were good

10:54 for humans as

10:58 well

💫 FAQs about This YouTube Video

1. What is the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) discussed in the video?

The video discusses the potential of AI to solve problems such as employment, disease, and poverty, but also highlights the creation of new problems such as fake news and cyber attacks.

2. Why is there a call for a pause in the development of artificial intelligence (AI)?

There is a call for a pause in AI development to consider the risks associated with its power and to ensure that highly capable AI systems are aligned with human interests.

3. How does the speaker emphasize the importance of aligning the goals of autonomous beings with human goals?

The speaker emphasizes the importance of aligning the goals of autonomous beings with human goals, especially as these beings become much smarter than humans, to ensure that their goals are aligned with ours.

4. What are the concerns raised about the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI)?

The concerns revolve around the need to program AGI to prioritize human interests and the potential for AGI to have a significant impact on society, raising questions about who will benefit from it.

5. How does the speaker highlight the need for cooperation between multiple countries in the development of AGI?

The speaker emphasizes the importance of building AGI as a cooperation between multiple countries to address the potential challenges and ensure that the future of AI is beneficial for humans.

🎥 Related Videos

Gaza: Fighting continues despite UN Security Council resolution calling for ceasefire | BBC News

Gaza: Fighting continues despite UN Security Council resolution calling for ceasefire | BBC News

Poilievre claims Trudeau is "losing control" with "screaming and hollering" while answering question

Poilievre claims Trudeau is "losing control" with "screaming and hollering" while answering question

38 million Californians under flood alerts due to atmospheric rivers

38 million Californians under flood alerts due to atmospheric rivers

Policing the Police 2020 (full documentary) | FRONTLINE

Policing the Police 2020 (full documentary) | FRONTLINE

What's behind the creation of the Alliance of Sahel States? | Inside Story

What's behind the creation of the Alliance of Sahel States? | Inside Story

Dancing With The Dragon - China: Friend or Foe? | Full Head to Head | Oxford Union

Dancing With The Dragon - China: Friend or Foe? | Full Head to Head | Oxford Union

🔥 Recently Summarized Examples

4 Steps to Master Any Complex Skill (quickly)

4 Steps to Master Any Complex Skill (quickly)

40 Years of Fitness Experience in Less Than 11 Minutes.

40 Years of Fitness Experience in Less Than 11 Minutes.

Gun Controlling Media Makes FATAL Mistake... They Have Tied Their Fate To Biden's & Gun Rights Win

Gun Controlling Media Makes FATAL Mistake... They Have Tied Their Fate To Biden's & Gun Rights Win

GET READY! Palantir Is Officially The Next Nvidia.

GET READY! Palantir Is Officially The Next Nvidia.

Abundant Thinking: The Hidden Key to Get Everything You Want (Audiobook)

Abundant Thinking: The Hidden Key to Get Everything You Want (Audiobook)

The Coming Demonic Invasion (Revelation 9:12–21)

The Coming Demonic Invasion (Revelation 9:12–21)

View original video