00:00hello and welcome back to another update
00:03as we covered the latest developments
00:04throughout the front line in the Russi
00:06Ukraine war we start out in the
00:08direction of bmud where the Russians
00:10have managed to make an advancement here
00:12to the south of ianiv in the southern
00:15parts of the village we see that the
00:18Russians have advanced from their
00:20positions here in the Eastern Parts
00:22towards the central parts and Southern
00:24parts of the village where fighting
00:27continues into the greenhouse area of of
00:30the village and with the central Parts
00:32being crossed over by the Russians
00:34they're pushing them towards the supply
00:36lines this is a classic tactic where the
00:40Russians are leaving the Escape Routes
00:42open for the ukrainians so that they
00:44don't fight until the last man try and
00:47simply push them out of the area with
00:49the Supply Route open they are able to
00:51just move backwards if the Russians
00:54continue pushing them through the
00:56Eastern parts so they're pushing them
00:57out of the village rather than trying to
00:59insert circulate or cut it off
01:01considering the high and strong
01:03Ukrainian fortifications to the north of
01:05the village it makes sense for them to
01:07use this tactic over trying to encircle
01:10it as that would take a lot more effort
01:12than what vski itself is worth we see
01:15that there's constant bombardment of the
01:17village itself with Russian Fab bombs
01:20and constant artillery hitting the
01:22village which makes it very difficult
01:24for the ukrainians to hold on to
01:26especially with how the village is
01:28largely just residential houses
01:31throughout the village with the
01:33greenhouse area here to the South with
01:36the Russian advancements here to the
01:37south of the village it is likely that
01:39the Russians are looking to push through
01:41the greenhouse area and back into the
01:43northern part where they'll look to
01:45actually push through the central Parts
01:47as well pushing the ukrainians out of
01:49the village through the main road here
01:52between bmud and jvr with these recent
01:55advancements the Russians will likely
01:56look to go into the forest areas here to
02:00by capturing the first areas they would
02:02completely cut off the ukrainians in
02:04these Southern parts from kif andifa and
02:07through the north with all of these
02:09advancements and developments here by
02:11iany over the recent past days the
02:13Russians have likely restarted storming
02:16operations which have allowed them to
02:18push through and capture these parts of
02:21the village and if this trend continues
02:24they'll likely capture the village in
02:26this next week when the Russian forces
02:29started their operation here in the
02:30direction of Ian the ukrainians
02:32responded by sending reinforcements
02:34which came in the form of the 17th tank
02:39Brigade but since then there's been no
02:41additional reinforcements this indicates
02:43that the Russians are now succeeding
02:45these advancements despite their Ukraine
02:48reinforcements and to stop this the
02:50ukrain would likely have to send
02:51additional reinforcements or to grind
02:54down the Russian forces with what forces
02:55they have available but this is
02:57difficult due to the lack of
02:58fortifications with even if itself and
03:01due to the high Firepower of the
03:03Russians in the area this forces the
03:05ukrainians to be pushed back and
03:07withdraw from the village in these
03:09coming days if this trend continues and
03:11ukrain are unable to respond we're
03:13seeing that throughout the front line
03:14the Russians are pushing in different
03:16areas mainly in the areas of bmud FD and
03:20here to the southwest of donet this
03:22forces the ukrainians to respond by
03:24sending reinforcements to all of these
03:25areas together with the robotina
03:28direction where there has been e made
03:30over the past few days and with this the
03:32ukrainians will have to redirect their
03:34forces from the robotin direction now
03:37that the Russians have been pushed out
03:39of robota to these other areas to hold
03:42line they may send to the B direction
03:45towards thei all through to the fiva
03:48direction but the risk they run here is
03:50that if they relocate their forces from
03:52robotin the Russians could restart their
03:54operations and try to regain their lost
03:56positions in robotina the thing about
04:00the Ukrainian reserves is that they
04:02right now rely largely on Infantry
04:05reserves rather than mechanized reserves
04:08the Ukraine have not really received any
04:10significant amount of Armwood vehicles
04:12or tanks since last year about this time
04:15that is when they receed the most but
04:17since then it has hardly been any so the
04:20mechanized brigades and tank brigades
04:21they have available right now are the
04:23only ones they do not have Reserve units
04:25in that sense there has been four
04:28mechanized brigades that have been
04:30training since October but yet yet not
04:33ready due to the lack of armored
04:35vehicles to be equipped into their
04:37Brigade so they have the training they
04:38just don't have the equipment at the
04:40same time the Ukraine have a significant
04:43reserve of just infantry they are
04:46Manning the trenches and fortifications
04:48throughout the front line This is why
04:50that despite the lack of reserves the
04:52Russians are still unable to push it
04:54through significantly because the ukrain
04:56have a lot of infantry to man the
04:57defenses as long as the defenses build
05:00the fortifications build are strong
05:02enough the Russians advancements will be
05:04slow this is why we're seeing that in
05:06the ianis direction the Russians are
05:07able to advance within the village
05:09itself this is mainly due to them
05:12already having captured and pushed
05:14through the fortifications they were
05:16slowed down by the 17th tank Brigade of
05:18the Ukrainian forces but now they are
05:20pushing through again this is because
05:22the tank Brigade is likely having a hard
05:25time holding back the Russian advances
05:28by itself with the heavy bombardment of
05:30the Russian Air Force and artillery onto
05:33the village moving on to the next
05:36section of the front line we see here to
05:37the west of FKA and the Russ of forka T
05:40and Bishi they still May continues as
05:43the Russians and ukrainians keep
05:44fighting positional battles while the
05:46ukrainians are trying to recapture these
05:48areas by badesi and tanena norka while
05:52it's launching C attacks the Russians
05:53are trying to advance and capture Bishi
05:56leading them to get into a position
05:58where they can storm seifa here to the
06:00heights west of Urka badesi so with this
06:04we see that this continues fighting and
06:05a lot of bombardment but not really a
06:07lot of territorial changes as a result
06:09of this fighting moving further south in
06:11the direction of kif andif we see
06:15fighting continues in some sources
06:17reports that the Russians have made
06:19significant advances within the
06:21residential area here to the South
06:22capturing the HS a residential area
06:25while other sources report that the
06:26Russians were completely kicked out
06:28until there's a clarification on this
06:30there's a lot more positional fighting
06:31and it's likely just a lot of back and
06:33forth where at one point they were
06:34pushed out and at another point they had
06:36captured a significant portion of it so
06:39in the end we do not know what's
06:40happening right now and what the outcome
06:41of this back and forth is therefore
06:43we'll leave it as a gray Zone as for the
06:46Rifka Direction the Russians managed to
06:48advance and capture these fortifications
06:50and trenches through the central parts
06:52of Rifka in the daa area with this the
06:56Russians have now reached their
06:57residential area or the main parts of
07:00theka both in the northern and southern
07:02parts and with these advancements the
07:04Russians will like likely look to gain
07:07control over huifa Itself by entering
07:09the residential area and fighting
07:11through it yet again the main force of
07:13the ukrainians in this area is infantry
07:15based there's not a lot of mechanized
07:16units the ukrainians are likely running
07:19low on armored vehicles to use across
07:22the whole front line compared to what
07:24the Russians have available and this is
07:26likely due to two reason the first one
07:29is is the lack of additional armored
07:32vehicles Senter to Ukraine since last
07:34year and the second one is the
07:36difficulty maintaining these armor
07:38vehicles since last year as the majority
07:43of the repairs are likely to be done in
07:46Poland and with the blockade between
07:49Poland and Ukraine by the border by the
07:52farmers who are blocking main highways
07:55between the two with layers of hay and
07:58other things to completely obstruct and
08:01blockade Ukraine from Poland this makes
08:03it difficult for material military
08:06material and other things to get through
08:08as well and there's also the fact that
08:10the ukrainians would have to push things
08:13from the front line and all the way to
08:16Poland whether it's in Lupin or
08:19elsewhere this is a very long and far
08:22distance to have as a supply line so the
08:25ukraines are facing difficulties with
08:27the logistics due to the extend ion of
08:29it and this also adds to the difficulty
08:32in maintaining their equipment as for
08:36yet again there's more positional
08:37fighting with no significant
08:39developments in this section of the
08:40front line either now I'm going to be
08:43making a video series four video
08:47specifically about this summer because
08:51everything points towards the Russians
08:53launching a summer offensive so with
08:56that I'll have four videos about the
08:59this topic the first one would be if the
09:02Russians launch one in the north one in
09:05the East one in the South and finally
09:08one if it was a major offensive that is
09:10launched across the whole front line
09:13Northeast and South so that is going to
09:16be four videos separately into this four
09:19parts and I'm going to be covering every
09:22single detail and I'm currently in
09:24communication with both Ukrainian
09:26soldiers and Russian soldiers to figure
09:28out the Power Balance how much training
09:30each Soldier gos into and every single
09:34small detail as to how I can make these
09:37predictions as accurate as possible
09:40because the current developments are
09:42pointing towards a very significant
09:44development happening this summer so I
09:46want to get it as right as possible and
09:49that is going to be all for this update
09:51thank you all for watching and have a
